Wednesday, November 5, 2014

Midterm thoughts

A convincing nationwide victory for the GOP. Well done.

I'm sure this will help ease the gridlock in DC...

Still, couldn't help but feeling last night that this was also a big victory for Hillary. No, it isn't good that candidates she stumped for this time around lost. However, 2 years of an impotent GOP controlled congress will provide much ammo for a Hillary campaign. 

Furthermore, there's never a good time for the GOP to control both houses (in my opinion), but if it's gonna happen, let's have it happen with a Democrat in the White House. The crazy will be contained to the house and senate floors, and will be sure to give the Presidents veto pen some work.

Also, there's this from Yahoo:

"In other words, for every Senate seat that Republicans flipped in 2014, there’s one — or more — that’s likely to flip back to the Democrats in 2016. The chances that the GOP will still control the upper chamber of Congress after 2016 are slim.
How does this help Clinton? By giving her an added boost on an electoral playing field that already favors a Democratic presidential nominee. In the last six elections, 18 states (plus Washington, D.C.) have voted for the Democratic candidate every single time.
This means that Clinton, assuming she’s the nominee, will start out with 242 electoral votes in 2016; she’ll need only 28 of the remaining 183 tossups to win the election. To defeat her, the Republican candidate will basically have to run the table in the purple states — “not a game plan with a high probability of success,” according to Republican pollsters Glen Bolger and Neil Newhouse.Making matters worse is the fact that Republican senators will already be playing defense in several of these states, attracting additional Democratic attention and resources that will ultimately bolster the candidate at the top of the ticket as well.
The math is just as bad for Republicans — and just as good for Clinton. In 2012, Mitt Romney won 59 percent of white voters, a higher share than Ronald Reagan's in 1980 and George W. Bush's in 2004. But Romney still lost to Obama. Why? Because America’s minority electorate is growing every year. To hit 50.1 percent in 2016, the Republican nominee will have to win a whopping 64 percent of the white vote on Election Day— or significantly improve the party’s standing among nonwhite voters, especially Hispanics. Otherwise, he or she will lose just like Romney."
So, yeah, enjoy two years of semi-relevancy and continue to offer the late night shows plenty of material.

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